The World Next Week
Posted By Rob Millard - 0 Comments -
Oxford Analytica has launched a forward-view current affairs service called The World Next Week. These guys produce really good stuff, so this is a resource well worth adding to one's RSS feed. Unlike so much of this kind of information that comes with an investigative journalist slant (not that I'm trashing investigative journalists - they serve a critical role in society - merely observing that they often come at things from a particular angle and don't go deeper than a topic's newsworthiness dictates) the Oxford Analytica material comes from a global network of recognized authorities and experts collaborating.
Take a look at their article Recession Rhubarb on whether or not there will be a US recession. They believe that likelihood of a recession in the next 12 months is 13.3%. Dramatically lower than what some others say but, as they point out, there is so much variation in view between different credible economic sources, that it is impossible to draw meaningful conclusions.
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